Stress test S196-0 tracks Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 130-unit bankroll over 210 hands (Player High-Tie, high-tie), where a 85-unit table ceiling produces 24.15% vs 8.79% ruin rates and maps 2.48u in multi-coup vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S196 (Rev Fibonacci vs Flat Betting, Three-Shoe 15% Tie Density on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S196 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 210 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 130-unit bankroll under a 85-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 210 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 4-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 15.24% tie frequency (32 pushes) and 2.48u in vigorish friction.
Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Flat Betting in scenario S196-1 (210 hands, 130u stack, 85u table limit) calibrates how 32 tie stalls (15.24%) and a 4-coup run shape discrete-time survival-window, yielding 24.15% vs 8.79% ruin.
Stress test S196-2 tabulates Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 130-unit bankroll over 210 hands (Player High-Tie, high-tie), where a 85-unit table ceiling produces 24.15% vs 8.79% ruin rates and benchmarks 2.48u in drawdown-weighted vigorish drag.
| S196 footprint | Rev Fibonacci | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Rev Fibonacci / Flat Betting Rule | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 210-Hand Ruin (130u) | 24.15% | 8.79% |
| Player High-Tie Hold (1.2351%) | 5.17u | 2.70u |
| 4-Run Trough (85u Cap) | -27u | -12u |
Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Flat Betting in scenario S196-3 (210 hands, 130u stack, 85u table limit) models how 32 tie stalls (15.24%) and a 4-coup run shape capital-bounded progression-curve, yielding 24.15% vs 8.79% ruin.
Stress test S196-4 measures Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 130-unit bankroll over 210 hands (Player High-Tie, high-tie), where a 85-unit table ceiling produces 24.15% vs 8.79% ruin rates and computes 2.48u in sequential vigorish drag.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.