Under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% effective edge), sequential stress run S133-0 over 74 hands and a 90-unit treasury models a -37u drawdown (8.34% ruin) for Paroli 3-Step Press against -22u (4.92% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 65-unit cap. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S133 (Paroli vs Flat Betting, 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S133 compares 1-2-4-reset against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 74 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 90-unit bankroll under a 65-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 74 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 11-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.11% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 0.97u in vigorish friction.
In bankroll-constrained comparative trial S133-1, running Paroli against Flat Betting for 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (streak) on 90 units measures 1.56u vs 1.12u in expected toll and 8.34% vs 4.92% ruin under a 65-unit pit limit.
Under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% effective edge), stochastic stress run S133-2 over 74 hands and a 90-unit treasury dissects a -37u drawdown (8.34% ruin) for Paroli 3-Step Press against -22u (4.92% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 65-unit cap.
| S133 excursion | Paroli | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Paroli / Flat Betting Rule | 1-2-4-reset | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 74-Hand Ruin (90u) | 8.34% | 4.92% |
| No-Comm Streak Hold (1.4579%) | 1.56u | 1.12u |
| 11-Run Trough (65u Cap) | -37u | -22u |
In absorbing-barrier comparative trial S133-3, running Paroli against Flat Betting for 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (streak) on 90 units quantifies 1.56u vs 1.12u in expected toll and 8.34% vs 4.92% ruin under a 65-unit pit limit.
Under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% effective edge), house-edge-anchored stress run S133-4 over 74 hands and a 90-unit treasury computes a -37u drawdown (8.34% ruin) for Paroli 3-Step Press against -22u (4.92% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 65-unit cap.
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