Within capital-bounded testbed S130-0, a 80-unit bankroll facing 75 coups of 5% Comm Streak (streak) and a 60-unit maximum wager documents 8.43% ruin (1.15u expected loss) on Paroli 3-Step Press versus 4.80% ruin (0.83u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S130 (Paroli vs Flat Betting, 9-Hand Dragon Streak Shoe under 5% Banker Commission). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S130 compares 1-2-4-reset against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 75 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 80-unit bankroll under a 60-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% house edge) across 75 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 9-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.4% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 0.55u in vigorish friction.
In head-to-head trial S130-1 across 75 deals (5% Comm Streak, 1.0579% edge), Paroli records a -36u peak escalation and 8.43% ruin probability on a 80-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -21u trough and 4.80% ruin under the 60-unit limit.
Within bankroll-constrained testbed S130-2, a 80-unit bankroll facing 75 coups of 5% Comm Streak (streak) and a 60-unit maximum wager profiles 8.43% ruin (1.15u expected loss) on Paroli 3-Step Press versus 4.80% ruin (0.83u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline.
| S130 profile | Paroli | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Paroli / Flat Betting Rule | 1-2-4-reset | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 75-Hand Ruin (80u) | 8.43% | 4.80% |
| 5% Comm Streak Hold (1.0579%) | 1.15u | 0.83u |
| 9-Run Trough (60u Cap) | -36u | -21u |
In head-to-head trial S130-3 across 75 deals (5% Comm Streak, 1.0579% edge), Paroli records a -36u peak exposure and 8.43% ruin probability on a 80-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -21u trough and 4.80% ruin under the 60-unit limit.
Within absorbing-barrier testbed S130-4, a 80-unit bankroll facing 75 coups of 5% Comm Streak (streak) and a 60-unit maximum wager benchmarks 8.43% ruin (1.15u expected loss) on Paroli 3-Step Press versus 4.80% ruin (0.83u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.