Within commission-adjusted testbed S137-0, a 110-unit bankroll facing 152 coups of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) and a 75-unit maximum wager maps 15.13% ruin (2.26u expected loss) on Paroli 3-Step Press versus 6.96% ruin (1.63u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S137 (Paroli vs Flat Betting, Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S137 compares 1-2-4-reset against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 152 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 110-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 152 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 5-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 17.11% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 1.08u in vigorish friction.
In head-to-head trial S137-1 across 152 deals (EZ High-Tie, 1.0284% edge), Paroli records a -22u peak dispersion and 15.13% ruin probability on a 110-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -14u trough and 6.96% ruin under the 75-unit limit.
Within discrete-time testbed S137-2, a 110-unit bankroll facing 152 coups of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) and a 75-unit maximum wager charts 15.13% ruin (2.26u expected loss) on Paroli 3-Step Press versus 6.96% ruin (1.63u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline.
| S137 survival-window | Paroli | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Paroli / Flat Betting Rule | 1-2-4-reset | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 152-Hand Ruin (110u) | 15.13% | 6.96% |
| EZ High-Tie Hold (1.0284%) | 2.26u | 1.63u |
| 5-Run Trough (75u Cap) | -22u | -14u |
In head-to-head trial S137-3 across 152 deals (EZ High-Tie, 1.0284% edge), Paroli records a -22u peak distribution and 15.13% ruin probability on a 110-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -14u trough and 6.96% ruin under the 75-unit limit.
Within capital-bounded testbed S137-4, a 110-unit bankroll facing 152 coups of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) and a 75-unit maximum wager documents 15.13% ruin (2.26u expected loss) on Paroli 3-Step Press versus 6.96% ruin (1.63u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.