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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · PAROLI VS FLAT BETTING
Paroli 3-Step Press vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — 16% High-Tie Cluster Shoe under 5% Banker Commission (78-Hand Stress Test)
Combinatorial stress ledger S131-0 evaluates Paroli 3-Step Press versus Flat 1-Unit Baseline across 78 coups (75u bankroll, 50u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0579% house edge and 4-hand runs enforce 12.26% vs 5.52% ruin along the asymmetric distribution. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 12.26%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.52%
- Peak Trough (4-Run)
- -20u
- 5% Comm High-Tie House Edge
- 1.0579%