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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS FLAT BETTING
Martingale Doubling vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers (216-Hand Stress Test)
Combinatorial stress ledger S111-0 charts Martingale Doubling versus Flat 1-Unit Baseline across 216 coups (140u bankroll, 90u max bet), demonstrating that 1.2351% house edge and 8-hand runs enforce 51.40% vs 8.20% ruin along the stochastic drawdown-slope. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 51.40%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 8.20%
- Peak Trough (8-Run)
- -57u
- Player 1:1 Streak House Edge
- 1.2351%