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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS FLAT BETTING
Martingale Doubling vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (148-Hand Stress Test)
Stress test S108-0 tabulates Martingale Doubling (1-2-4-8-16-32-64) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 120-unit bankroll over 148 hands (EZ Dragon Streak, streak), where a 80-unit table ceiling produces 42.88% vs 6.01% ruin rates and tabulates 3.27u in bankroll-constrained vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 42.88%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 6.01%
- Peak Trough (10-Run)
- -64u
- EZ Dragon Streak House Edge
- 1.0284%