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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS FLAT BETTING
Martingale Doubling vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (70-Hand Stress Test)
Combinatorial stress ledger S104-0 profiles Martingale Doubling versus Flat 1-Unit Baseline across 70 coups (65u bankroll, 50u max bet), demonstrating that 1.4579% house edge and 2-hand runs enforce 23.04% vs 5.93% ruin along the table-capped cycle-span. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 23.04%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.93%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -24u
- No-Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.4579%