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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MACAU 3-STEP VS FLAT BETTING
Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Single-Alternating Chop under 5% Banker Commission (72-Hand Stress Test)
Stress test S297-0 calibrates Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet (1-3-7 cap) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 60-unit bankroll over 72 hands (5% Comm Chop, chop), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 14.74% vs 5.84% ruin rates and dissects 0.69u in eight-deck vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Macau 3-Step Ruin Rate
- 14.74%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.84%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -20u
- 5% Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.0579%