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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · LABOUCHERE VS FLAT BETTING
Labouchere Split-Line vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Evaluating Labouchere vs Flat Betting in scenario S240-0 (288 hands, 180u stack, 100u table limit) benchmarks how 26 tie stalls (9.03%) and a 12-coup run shape absorbing-barrier stake-velocity, yielding 24.97% vs 9.17% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Labouchere Ruin Rate
- 24.97%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -59u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%