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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · LABOUCHERE VS FLAT BETTING
Labouchere Split-Line vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — 18% Tie-Heavy Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (80-Hand Stress Test)
Matchup S232-0 quantifies how a 85-unit roll and 60-unit pit maximum govern Labouchere versus Flat Betting during 80 hands of No-Comm High-Tie: finite-shoe volatility-band divergence pushes primary ruin to 19.75% against 5.73% for the benchmark while computes 2.29u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Labouchere Ruin Rate
- 19.75%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.73%
- Peak Trough (5-Run)
- -36u
- No-Comm High-Tie House Edge
- 1.4579%