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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · LABOUCHERE VS FLAT BETTING
Labouchere Split-Line vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe Alternating Sawtooth under 5% Banker Commission (288-Hand Stress Test)
Matchup S239-0 tabulates how a 160-unit roll and 100-unit pit maximum govern Labouchere versus Flat Betting during 288 hands of 4-Shoe Chop: variance-scaled excursion divergence pushes primary ruin to 28.87% against 9.92% for the benchmark while tabulates 4.63u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Labouchere Ruin Rate
- 28.87%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.92%
- Peak Trough (3-Run)
- -23u
- 4-Shoe Chop House Edge
- 1.0579%