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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · LABOUCHERE VS FLAT BETTING
Labouchere Split-Line vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Single-Alternating Chop under 5% Banker Commission (72-Hand Stress Test)
Pairing a 60-unit bankroll against 72 hands of 5% Comm Chop (1.0579% edge) in cell S227-0 measures Labouchere at 18.67% ruin and -19u peak threshold, whereas Flat Betting records 5.84% ruin and -10u below the 50-unit ceiling. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Labouchere Ruin Rate
- 18.67%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.84%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -19u
- 5% Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.0579%