Evaluating HK 6-Step vs Flat Betting in scenario S287-0 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) charts how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape sequential exposure, yielding 16.91% vs 4.92% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S287 (HK 6-Step vs Flat Betting, 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S287 compares 1-3-7-15-31-63 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 74 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 90-unit bankroll under a 65-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 74 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 11-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.11% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 2.90u in vigorish friction.
Stress test S287-1 inspects Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise (1-3-7-15-31-63) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 16.91% vs 4.92% ruin rates and benchmarks 2.90u in bankroll-constrained vigorish drag.
Evaluating HK 6-Step vs Flat Betting in scenario S287-2 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) documents how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape stochastic profile, yielding 16.91% vs 4.92% ruin.
| S287 turnover | HK 6-Step | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| HK 6-Step / Flat Betting Rule | 1-3-7-15-31-63 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 74-Hand Ruin (90u) | 16.91% | 4.92% |
| No-Comm Streak Hold (1.4579%) | 4.68u | 1.12u |
| 11-Run Trough (65u Cap) | -65u | -21u |
Stress test S287-3 audits Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise (1-3-7-15-31-63) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 16.91% vs 4.92% ruin rates and computes 2.90u in absorbing-barrier vigorish drag.
Evaluating HK 6-Step vs Flat Betting in scenario S287-4 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) profiles how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape house-edge-anchored boundary, yielding 16.91% vs 4.92% ruin.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.