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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · HK 6-STEP VS FLAT BETTING
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — 18% Tie-Heavy Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (80-Hand Stress Test)
Pairing a 85-unit bankroll against 80 hands of No-Comm High-Tie (1.4579% edge) in cell S288-0 computes HK 6-Step at 24.72% ruin and -36u peak turnover, whereas Flat Betting records 5.73% ruin and -15u below the 60-unit ceiling. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- HK 6-Step Ruin Rate
- 24.72%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.73%
- Peak Trough (5-Run)
- -36u
- No-Comm High-Tie House Edge
- 1.4579%