In non-stationary comparative trial S292-0, running HK 6-Step against Flat Betting for 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) on 95 units documents 7.50u vs 1.80u in expected toll and 29.00% vs 7.64% ruin under a 70-unit pit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S292 (HK 6-Step vs Flat Betting, Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S292 compares 1-3-7-15-31-63 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 140 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 95-unit bankroll under a 70-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 140 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 2-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.29% tie frequency (13 pushes) and 3.60u in vigorish friction.
Under Player 1:1 Chop (1.2351% effective edge), variance-scaled stress run S292-1 over 140 hands and a 95-unit treasury audits a -26u drawdown (29.00% ruin) for Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise against -10u (7.64% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 70-unit cap.
In combinatorial comparative trial S292-2, running HK 6-Step against Flat Betting for 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) on 95 units profiles 7.50u vs 1.80u in expected toll and 29.00% vs 7.64% ruin under a 70-unit pit limit.
| S292 threshold | HK 6-Step | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| HK 6-Step / Flat Betting Rule | 1-3-7-15-31-63 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 140-Hand Ruin (95u) | 29.00% | 7.64% |
| Player 1:1 Chop Hold (1.2351%) | 7.50u | 1.80u |
| 2-Run Trough (70u Cap) | -26u | -10u |
Under Player 1:1 Chop (1.2351% effective edge), session-bounded stress run S292-3 over 140 hands and a 95-unit treasury verifies a -26u drawdown (29.00% ruin) for Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise against -10u (7.64% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 70-unit cap.
In asymmetric comparative trial S292-4, running HK 6-Step against Flat Betting for 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) on 95 units benchmarks 7.50u vs 1.80u in expected toll and 29.00% vs 7.64% ruin under a 70-unit pit limit.
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