Benchmark S122-0 verifies the bankroll-constrained survival-window between Grand Martingale and Flat Betting over 148 hands of EZ Dragon Streak: with 120 units, a 80-unit cap, and 1.0284% house edge, ruin settles at 50.80% vs 6.01% while finite-shoe decay-rate reaches -78u. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S122 (Grand Martingale vs Flat Betting, Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S122 compares 1-3-7-15-31-63-127 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 148 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 120-unit bankroll under a 80-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 148 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 10-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.78% tie frequency (13 pushes) and 4.72u in vigorish friction.
When EZ Dragon Streak (streak) injects a 10-hand extreme run and 13 tie pushes (8.78% Tie density) over 148 coups, stochastic audit S122-1 benchmarks Grand Martingale (2x+1) at 9.84u expected erosion (50.80% ruin) compared with 1.58u (6.01% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline on 120 units.
Benchmark S122-2 tracks the absorbing-barrier progression-curve between Grand Martingale and Flat Betting over 148 hands of EZ Dragon Streak: with 120 units, a 80-unit cap, and 1.0284% house edge, ruin settles at 50.80% vs 6.01% while variance-scaled distribution reaches -78u.
| S122 stake-velocity | Grand Martingale | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Martingale / Flat Betting Rule | 1-3-7-15-31-63-127 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 148-Hand Ruin (120u) | 50.80% | 6.01% |
| EZ Dragon Streak Hold (1.0284%) | 9.84u | 1.58u |
| 10-Run Trough (80u Cap) | -78u | -20u |
When EZ Dragon Streak (streak) injects a 10-hand extreme run and 13 tie pushes (8.78% Tie density) over 148 coups, house-edge-anchored audit S122-3 calibrates Grand Martingale (2x+1) at 9.84u expected erosion (50.80% ruin) compared with 1.58u (6.01% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline on 120 units.
Benchmark S122-4 tabulates the eight-deck ledger between Grand Martingale and Flat Betting over 148 hands of EZ Dragon Streak: with 120 units, a 80-unit cap, and 1.0284% house edge, ruin settles at 50.80% vs 6.01% while eight-deck survival-window reaches -78u.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.