In head-to-head trial S181-0 across 216 deals (Player 1:1 Streak, 1.2351% edge), Fibonacci records a -43u peak exposure and 23.93% ruin probability on a 140-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -16u trough and 8.20% ruin under the 90-unit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S181 (Fibonacci vs Flat Betting, Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S181 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 216 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 140-unit bankroll under a 90-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 216 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 8-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 9.26% tie frequency (20 pushes) and 3.70u in vigorish friction.
Within absorbing-barrier testbed S181-1, a 140-unit bankroll facing 216 coups of Player 1:1 Streak (streak) and a 90-unit maximum wager maps 23.93% ruin (7.71u expected loss) on Fibonacci Negative Sequence versus 8.20% ruin (2.77u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline.
In head-to-head trial S181-2 across 216 deals (Player 1:1 Streak, 1.2351% edge), Fibonacci records a -43u peak profile and 23.93% ruin probability on a 140-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -16u trough and 8.20% ruin under the 90-unit limit.
| S181 turnover | Fibonacci | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Fibonacci / Flat Betting Rule | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 216-Hand Ruin (140u) | 23.93% | 8.20% |
| Player 1:1 Streak Hold (1.2351%) | 7.71u | 2.77u |
| 8-Run Trough (90u Cap) | -43u | -16u |
Within eight-deck testbed S181-3, a 140-unit bankroll facing 216 coups of Player 1:1 Streak (streak) and a 90-unit maximum wager charts 23.93% ruin (7.71u expected loss) on Fibonacci Negative Sequence versus 8.20% ruin (2.77u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline.
In head-to-head trial S181-4 across 216 deals (Player 1:1 Streak, 1.2351% edge), Fibonacci records a -43u peak boundary and 23.93% ruin probability on a 140-unit stack, whereas Flat Betting logs a -16u trough and 8.20% ruin under the 90-unit limit.
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