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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · FIBONACCI VS FLAT BETTING
Fibonacci Negative Sequence vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
In absorbing-barrier comparative trial S184-0, running Fibonacci against Flat Betting for 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak (streak) on 180 units verifies 12.13u vs 4.37u in expected toll and 22.99% vs 9.17% ruin under a 100-unit pit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 22.99%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -60u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%