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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · FIBONACCI VS FLAT BETTING
Fibonacci Negative Sequence vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers (140-Hand Stress Test)
Pairing a 95-unit bankroll against 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (1.2351% edge) in cell S180-0 charts Fibonacci at 23.61% ruin and -19u peak trajectory, whereas Flat Betting records 7.64% ruin and -13u below the 70-unit ceiling. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 23.61%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 7.64%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -19u
- Player 1:1 Chop House Edge
- 1.2351%