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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · D'ALEMBERT VS FLAT BETTING
D'Alembert Pyramid vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Matchup S212-0 computes how a 180-unit roll and 100-unit pit maximum govern D'Alembert versus Flat Betting during 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak: absorbing-barrier threshold divergence pushes primary ruin to 17.48% against 9.17% for the benchmark while measures 5.23u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 17.48%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -47u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%