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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · D'ALEMBERT VS FLAT BETTING
D'Alembert Pyramid vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (148-Hand Stress Test)
Evaluating D'Alembert vs Flat Betting in scenario S206-0 (148 hands, 120u stack, 80u table limit) maps how 13 tie stalls (8.78%) and a 10-coup run shape bankroll-constrained absorption-curve, yielding 14.54% vs 6.01% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 14.54%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 6.01%
- Peak Trough (10-Run)
- -41u
- EZ Dragon Streak House Edge
- 1.0284%