Stress test S223-0 documents Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 140-unit bankroll over 216 hands (Player 1:1 Streak, streak), where a 90-unit table ceiling produces 16.21% vs 8.20% ruin rates and quantifies 2.23u in stochastic vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S223 (Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting, Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S223 compares +1 on win / -1 on loss against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 216 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 140-unit bankroll under a 90-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 216 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 8-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 9.26% tie frequency (20 pushes) and 2.23u in vigorish friction.
Evaluating Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting in scenario S223-1 (216 hands, 140u stack, 90u table limit) audits how 20 tie stalls (9.26%) and a 8-coup run shape absorbing-barrier stake-velocity, yielding 16.21% vs 8.20% ruin.
Stress test S223-2 profiles Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 140-unit bankroll over 216 hands (Player 1:1 Streak, streak), where a 90-unit table ceiling produces 16.21% vs 8.20% ruin rates and profiles 2.23u in house-edge-anchored vigorish drag.
| S223 drawdown-slope | Contra D'Alembert | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Contra D'Alembert / Flat Betting Rule | +1 on win / -1 on loss | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 216-Hand Ruin (140u) | 16.21% | 8.20% |
| Player 1:1 Streak Hold (1.2351%) | 4.65u | 2.77u |
| 8-Run Trough (90u Cap) | -33u | -18u |
Evaluating Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting in scenario S223-3 (216 hands, 140u stack, 90u table limit) verifies how 20 tie stalls (9.26%) and a 8-coup run shape eight-deck drawdown-slope, yielding 16.21% vs 8.20% ruin.
Stress test S223-4 benchmarks Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 140-unit bankroll over 216 hands (Player 1:1 Streak, streak), where a 90-unit table ceiling produces 16.21% vs 8.20% ruin rates and dissects 2.23u in table-capped vigorish drag.
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