- Home /
- Combinatorial Math & Odds Hub /
- Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting (4-Shoe Streak)
STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT VS FLAT BETTING
Contra D'Alembert Press vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Combinatorial stress ledger S226-0 models Contra D'Alembert Press versus Flat 1-Unit Baseline across 288 coups (180u bankroll, 100u max bet), demonstrating that 1.4579% house edge and 12-hand runs enforce 17.63% vs 9.17% ruin along the absorbing-barrier dispersion. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 17.63%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -46u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%