Across 74 resolved and tied deals under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge), sequential comparison S217-0 audits Contra D'Alembert Press against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 90-unit bankroll, showing that 11-hand clusters and a 65-unit ceiling drive 10.19% vs 4.92% stop-loss breaches along the non-stationary decay-rate. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S217 (Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting, 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S217 compares +1 on win / -1 on loss against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 74 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 90-unit bankroll under a 65-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 74 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 11-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.11% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 1.17u in vigorish friction.
Pairing a 90-unit bankroll against 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge) in cell S217-1 profiles Contra D'Alembert at 10.19% ruin and -41u peak exposure, whereas Flat Betting records 4.92% ruin and -21u below the 65-unit ceiling.
Across 74 resolved and tied deals under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge), stochastic comparison S217-2 verifies Contra D'Alembert Press against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 90-unit bankroll, showing that 11-hand clusters and a 65-unit ceiling drive 10.19% vs 4.92% stop-loss breaches along the house-edge-anchored distribution.
| S217 distribution | Contra D'Alembert | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Contra D'Alembert / Flat Betting Rule | +1 on win / -1 on loss | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 74-Hand Ruin (90u) | 10.19% | 4.92% |
| No-Comm Streak Hold (1.4579%) | 1.88u | 1.12u |
| 11-Run Trough (65u Cap) | -41u | -21u |
Pairing a 90-unit bankroll against 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge) in cell S217-3 benchmarks Contra D'Alembert at 10.19% ruin and -41u peak profile, whereas Flat Betting records 4.92% ruin and -21u below the 65-unit ceiling.
Across 74 resolved and tied deals under No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge), house-edge-anchored comparison S217-4 tracks Contra D'Alembert Press against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 90-unit bankroll, showing that 11-hand clusters and a 65-unit ceiling drive 10.19% vs 4.92% stop-loss breaches along the sequential survival-window.
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Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).