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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT VS FLAT BETTING
Contra D'Alembert Press vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (148-Hand Stress Test)
When EZ Dragon Streak (streak) injects a 10-hand extreme run and 13 tie pushes (8.78% Tie density) over 148 coups, bankroll-constrained audit S220-0 measures Contra D'Alembert Press at 2.65u expected erosion (12.38% ruin) compared with 1.58u (6.01% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline on 120 units. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 12.38%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 6.01%
- Peak Trough (10-Run)
- -41u
- EZ Dragon Streak House Edge
- 1.0284%