Across 210 resolved and tied deals under Player High-Tie (1.2351% edge), multi-coup comparison S224-0 evaluates Contra D'Alembert Press against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 130-unit bankroll, showing that 4-hand clusters and a 85-unit ceiling drive 21.94% vs 8.79% stop-loss breaches along the step-indexed decay-rate. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S224 (Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting, Three-Shoe 15% Tie Density on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S224 compares +1 on win / -1 on loss against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 210 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 130-unit bankroll under a 85-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 210 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 4-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 15.24% tie frequency (32 pushes) and 2.17u in vigorish friction.
Pairing a 130-unit bankroll against 210 hands of Player High-Tie (1.2351% edge) in cell S224-1 charts Contra D'Alembert at 21.94% ruin and -24u peak distribution, whereas Flat Betting records 8.79% ruin and -15u below the 85-unit ceiling.
Across 210 resolved and tied deals under Player High-Tie (1.2351% edge), drawdown-weighted comparison S224-2 inspects Contra D'Alembert Press against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 130-unit bankroll, showing that 4-hand clusters and a 85-unit ceiling drive 21.94% vs 8.79% stop-loss breaches along the absorbing-barrier distribution.
| S224 excursion | Contra D'Alembert | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Contra D'Alembert / Flat Betting Rule | +1 on win / -1 on loss | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 210-Hand Ruin (130u) | 21.94% | 8.79% |
| Player High-Tie Hold (1.2351%) | 4.52u | 2.70u |
| 4-Run Trough (85u Cap) | -24u | -15u |
Pairing a 130-unit bankroll against 210 hands of Player High-Tie (1.2351% edge) in cell S224-3 documents Contra D'Alembert at 21.94% ruin and -24u peak envelope, whereas Flat Betting records 8.79% ruin and -15u below the 85-unit ceiling.
Across 210 resolved and tied deals under Player High-Tie (1.2351% edge), sequential comparison S224-4 audits Contra D'Alembert Press against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 130-unit bankroll, showing that 4-hand clusters and a 85-unit ceiling drive 21.94% vs 8.79% stop-loss breaches along the capital-bounded survival-window.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.