Under EZ High-Tie (1.0284% effective edge), commission-adjusted stress run S221-0 over 152 hands and a 110-unit treasury calibrates a -24u drawdown (18.15% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press against -13u (6.96% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 75-unit cap. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S221 (Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting, Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S221 compares +1 on win / -1 on loss against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 152 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 110-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 152 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 5-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 17.11% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 1.31u in vigorish friction.
In multi-coup comparative trial S221-1, running Contra D'Alembert against Flat Betting for 152 hands of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) on 110 units tabulates 2.73u vs 1.63u in expected toll and 18.15% vs 6.96% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit.
Under EZ High-Tie (1.0284% effective edge), discrete-time stress run S221-2 over 152 hands and a 110-unit treasury models a -24u drawdown (18.15% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press against -13u (6.96% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 75-unit cap.
| S221 profile | Contra D'Alembert | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Contra D'Alembert / Flat Betting Rule | +1 on win / -1 on loss | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 152-Hand Ruin (110u) | 18.15% | 6.96% |
| EZ High-Tie Hold (1.0284%) | 2.73u | 1.63u |
| 5-Run Trough (75u Cap) | -24u | -13u |
In drawdown-weighted comparative trial S221-3, running Contra D'Alembert against Flat Betting for 152 hands of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) on 110 units measures 2.73u vs 1.63u in expected toll and 18.15% vs 6.96% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit.
Under EZ High-Tie (1.0284% effective edge), capital-bounded stress run S221-4 over 152 hands and a 110-unit treasury dissects a -24u drawdown (18.15% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press against -13u (6.96% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 75-unit cap.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.