- Home /
- Combinatorial Math & Odds Hub /
- Contra D'Alembert vs Flat Betting (Player 1:1 Chop)
STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT VS FLAT BETTING
Contra D'Alembert Press vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers (140-Hand Stress Test)
During 140 deals of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) in audit S222-0, Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) and Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) navigate 13 tie pushes on a 95-unit roll with a 70-unit cap, verifies 15.90% vs 7.64% ruin and 1.45u in commission drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 15.90%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 7.64%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -17u
- Player 1:1 Chop House Edge
- 1.2351%