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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT VS FLAT BETTING
Contra D'Alembert Press vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (70-Hand Stress Test)
Stress test S216-0 benchmarks Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 65-unit bankroll over 70 hands (No-Comm Chop, chop), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 12.80% vs 5.93% ruin rates and inspects 1.10u in table-capped vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 12.80%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 5.93%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -17u
- No-Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.4579%