Stress test S277-0 tabulates 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression (2-1-2-3-4-5) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 110-unit bankroll over 152 hands (EZ High-Tie, high-tie), where a 75-unit table ceiling produces 17.71% vs 6.96% ruin rates and tabulates 1.22u in commission-adjusted vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S277 (2-1-2 Manhattan vs Flat Betting, Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S277 compares 2-1-2-3-4-5 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 152 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 110-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 152 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 5-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 17.11% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 1.22u in vigorish friction.
Evaluating 2-1-2 Manhattan vs Flat Betting in scenario S277-1 (152 hands, 110u stack, 75u table limit) models how 26 tie stalls (17.11%) and a 5-coup run shape multi-coup distribution, yielding 17.71% vs 6.96% ruin.
Stress test S277-2 measures 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression (2-1-2-3-4-5) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 110-unit bankroll over 152 hands (EZ High-Tie, high-tie), where a 75-unit table ceiling produces 17.71% vs 6.96% ruin rates and charts 1.22u in discrete-time vigorish drag.
| S277 excursion | 2-1-2 Manhattan | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1-2 Manhattan / Flat Betting Rule | 2-1-2-3-4-5 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 152-Hand Ruin (110u) | 17.71% | 6.96% |
| EZ High-Tie Hold (1.0284%) | 2.54u | 1.63u |
| 5-Run Trough (75u Cap) | -25u | -14u |
Evaluating 2-1-2 Manhattan vs Flat Betting in scenario S277-3 (152 hands, 110u stack, 75u table limit) dissects how 26 tie stalls (17.11%) and a 5-coup run shape drawdown-weighted envelope, yielding 17.71% vs 6.96% ruin.
Stress test S277-4 quantifies 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression (2-1-2-3-4-5) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 110-unit bankroll over 152 hands (EZ High-Tie, high-tie), where a 75-unit table ceiling produces 17.71% vs 6.96% ruin rates and calibrates 1.22u in capital-bounded vigorish drag.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).