Under EZ Dragon Chop (1.0284% effective edge), step-indexed stress run S275-0 over 144 hands and a 100-unit treasury maps a -18u drawdown (19.14% ruin) for 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression against -14u (8.39% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 75-unit cap. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S275 (2-1-2 Manhattan vs Flat Betting, Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S275 compares 2-1-2-3-4-5 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 144 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 100-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 144 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 3-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.72% tie frequency (14 pushes) and 1.16u in vigorish friction.
In non-stationary comparative trial S275-1, running 2-1-2 Manhattan against Flat Betting for 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) on 100 units evaluates 2.41u vs 1.54u in expected toll and 19.14% vs 8.39% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit.
Under EZ Dragon Chop (1.0284% effective edge), variance-scaled stress run S275-2 over 144 hands and a 100-unit treasury charts a -18u drawdown (19.14% ruin) for 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression against -14u (8.39% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 75-unit cap.
| S275 trajectory | 2-1-2 Manhattan | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1-2 Manhattan / Flat Betting Rule | 2-1-2-3-4-5 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 144-Hand Ruin (100u) | 19.14% | 8.39% |
| EZ Dragon Chop Hold (1.0284%) | 2.41u | 1.54u |
| 3-Run Trough (75u Cap) | -18u | -14u |
In combinatorial comparative trial S275-3, running 2-1-2 Manhattan against Flat Betting for 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) on 100 units inspects 2.41u vs 1.54u in expected toll and 19.14% vs 8.39% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit.
Under EZ Dragon Chop (1.0284% effective edge), session-bounded stress run S275-4 over 144 hands and a 100-unit treasury documents a -18u drawdown (19.14% ruin) for 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression against -14u (8.39% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 75-unit cap.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.