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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-3-2-6 VS FLAT BETTING
1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Benchmark S156-0 quantifies the absorbing-barrier progression-curve between 1-3-2-6 and Flat Betting over 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak: with 180 units, a 100-unit cap, and 1.4579% house edge, ruin settles at 15.10% vs 9.17% while house-edge-anchored decay-rate reaches -41u. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- 1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
- 15.10%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -41u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%