Evaluating 1-3-2-6 vs Flat Betting in scenario S145-0 (78 hands, 75u stack, 50u table limit) dissects how 13 tie stalls (16.67%) and a 4-coup run shape asymmetric drawdown-slope, yielding 14.90% vs 5.52% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S145 (1-3-2-6 vs Flat Betting, 16% High-Tie Cluster Shoe under 5% Banker Commission). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S145 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 78 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 75-unit bankroll under a 50-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% house edge) across 78 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 4-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 16.67% tie frequency (13 pushes) and 0.66u in vigorish friction.
Stress test S145-1 quantifies 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 75-unit bankroll over 78 hands (5% Comm High-Tie, high-tie), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 14.90% vs 5.52% ruin rates and profiles 0.66u in finite-shoe vigorish drag.
Evaluating 1-3-2-6 vs Flat Betting in scenario S145-2 (78 hands, 75u stack, 50u table limit) computes how 13 tie stalls (16.67%) and a 4-coup run shape commission-adjusted volatility-band, yielding 14.90% vs 5.52% ruin.
| S145 distribution | 1-3-2-6 | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3-2-6 / Flat Betting Rule | 1-3-2-6 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 78-Hand Ruin (75u) | 14.90% | 5.52% |
| 5% Comm High-Tie Hold (1.0579%) | 1.37u | 0.86u |
| 4-Run Trough (50u Cap) | -23u | -16u |
Stress test S145-3 maps 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence (1-3-2-6) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 75-unit bankroll over 78 hands (5% Comm High-Tie, high-tie), where a 50-unit table ceiling produces 14.90% vs 5.52% ruin rates and dissects 0.66u in multi-coup vigorish drag.
Evaluating 1-3-2-6 vs Flat Betting in scenario S145-4 (78 hands, 75u stack, 50u table limit) evaluates how 13 tie stalls (16.67%) and a 4-coup run shape discrete-time survival-window, yielding 14.90% vs 5.52% ruin.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).