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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-3-2-6 VS FLAT BETTING
1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers (140-Hand Stress Test)
Evaluating 1-3-2-6 vs Flat Betting in scenario S152-0 (140 hands, 95u stack, 70u table limit) calibrates how 13 tie stalls (9.29%) and a 2-coup run shape non-stationary ledger, yielding 20.96% vs 7.64% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- 1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
- 20.96%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 7.64%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -19u
- Player 1:1 Chop House Edge
- 1.2351%