In eight-deck comparative trial S143-0, running 1-3-2-6 against Flat Betting for 72 hands of 5% Comm Chop (chop) on 60 units inspects 1.26u vs 0.79u in expected toll and 17.39% vs 5.84% ruin under a 50-unit pit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S143 (1-3-2-6 vs Flat Betting, Single-Alternating Chop under 5% Banker Commission). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S143 compares 1-3-2-6 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 72 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 60-unit bankroll under a 50-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% house edge) across 72 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 2-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.52% tie frequency (7 pushes) and 0.60u in vigorish friction.
Under 5% Comm Chop (1.0579% effective edge), table-capped stress run S143-1 over 72 hands and a 60-unit treasury documents a -16u drawdown (17.39% ruin) for 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence against -11u (5.84% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 50-unit cap.
In step-indexed comparative trial S143-2, running 1-3-2-6 against Flat Betting for 72 hands of 5% Comm Chop (chop) on 60 units audits 1.26u vs 0.79u in expected toll and 17.39% vs 5.84% ruin under a 50-unit pit limit.
| S143 turnover | 1-3-2-6 | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3-2-6 / Flat Betting Rule | 1-3-2-6 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 72-Hand Ruin (60u) | 17.39% | 5.84% |
| 5% Comm Chop Hold (1.0579%) | 1.26u | 0.79u |
| 2-Run Trough (50u Cap) | -16u | -11u |
Under 5% Comm Chop (1.0579% effective edge), non-stationary stress run S143-3 over 72 hands and a 60-unit treasury profiles a -16u drawdown (17.39% ruin) for 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence against -11u (5.84% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 50-unit cap.
In variance-scaled comparative trial S143-4, running 1-3-2-6 against Flat Betting for 72 hands of 5% Comm Chop (chop) on 60 units verifies 1.26u vs 0.79u in expected toll and 17.39% vs 5.84% ruin under a 50-unit pit limit.
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Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
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Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.