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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-2-3-5 VS FLAT BETTING
1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers (216-Hand Stress Test)
Under Player 1:1 Streak (1.2351% effective edge), stochastic stress run S167-0 over 216 hands and a 140-unit treasury inspects a -30u drawdown (14.47% ruin) for 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder against -17u (8.20% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline inside a 90-unit cap. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- 1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
- 14.47%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 8.20%
- Peak Trough (8-Run)
- -30u
- Player 1:1 Streak House Edge
- 1.2351%