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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-2-3-5 VS FLAT BETTING
1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Across 288 resolved and tied deals under 4-Shoe Streak (1.4579% edge), absorbing-barrier comparison S170-0 tabulates 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder against Flat 1-Unit Baseline on a 180-unit bankroll, showing that 12-hand clusters and a 100-unit ceiling drive 15.85% vs 9.17% stop-loss breaches along the house-edge-anchored decay-rate. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- 1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
- 15.85%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -42u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%