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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · 1-2-3-5 VS FLAT BETTING
1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (148-Hand Stress Test)
Within bankroll-constrained testbed S164-0, a 120-unit bankroll facing 148 coups of EZ Dragon Streak (streak) and a 80-unit maximum wager models 10.87% ruin (2.38u expected loss) on 1-2-3-5 Four-Step Ladder versus 6.01% ruin (1.58u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- 1-2-3-5 Ruin Rate
- 10.87%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 6.01%
- Peak Trough (10-Run)
- -37u
- EZ Dragon Streak House Edge
- 1.0284%