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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · FIBONACCI VS D'ALEMBERT
Fibonacci Negative Sequence vs. D'Alembert Pyramid — 9-Hand Dragon Streak Shoe under 5% Banker Commission (75-Hand Stress Test)
Matchup S340-0 models how a 80-unit roll and 60-unit pit maximum govern Fibonacci versus D'Alembert during 75 hands of 5% Comm Streak: capital-bounded exposure divergence pushes primary ruin to 14.58% against 7.81% for the benchmark while benchmarks 1.10u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 14.58%
- D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 7.81%
- Peak Trough (9-Run)
- -49u
- 5% Comm Streak House Edge
- 1.0579%