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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · FIBONACCI VS D'ALEMBERT
Fibonacci Negative Sequence vs. D'Alembert Pyramid — Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers (140-Hand Stress Test)
Evaluating Fibonacci vs D'Alembert in scenario S348-0 (140 hands, 95u stack, 70u table limit) audits how 13 tie stalls (9.29%) and a 2-coup run shape non-stationary cadence, yielding 22.74% vs 12.37% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 22.74%
- D'Alembert Ruin Rate
- 12.37%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -19u
- Player 1:1 Chop House Edge
- 1.2351%