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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · FIBONACCI · 20U / 1-SHOE
Fibonacci Negative Sequence — 20-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M226-0 calibrates the stochastic Fibonacci Negative Sequence (1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34) across a 20-unit bankroll and a 72-hand (1-shoe) window, where a 40-unit table ceiling and 10-unit stop-loss produce a 55.48% ruin rate while dissects an average stake decay-rate of 1.29x and 1.27u ($32) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-10u Stop)
- 55.48%
- Target Hit (+6u Cap)
- 27.28%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 1.27u
- Table Max (5-Step Depth)
- 40u