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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · FIBONACCI · 100U / 5-SHOE
Fibonacci Negative Sequence — 100-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M240-0 models the bankroll-constrained Fibonacci Negative Sequence (1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 55.48% ruin rate while audits an average stake excursion of 2.46x and 12.09u ($605) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-50u Stop)
- 55.48%
- Target Hit (+25u Cap)
- 31.77%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 12.09u
- Table Max (7-Step Depth)
- 80u