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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · D'ALEMBERT · 75U / 10-SHOE

D'Alembert Pyramid — 75-Unit Bankroll & 10-Shoe (720-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Under eight-deck boundary rules in M288-0, pairing D'Alembert Pyramid with 75 units across 10 shoes (720 hands) and a 100-unit maximum tracks a 94.80% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 7 adverse steps before bankroll-constrained volatility-band truncation. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-38u Stop)
94.80%
Target Hit (+19u Cap)
19.94%
720-Hand Expected Hold
14.57u
Table Max (7-Step Depth)
100u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M288 (D'Alembert Pyramid, 75u bankroll, 720 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
75u / 10 Shoes (720 Hands)

Matrix cell M288 tests D'Alembert Pyramid with a $100 base unit and -38u/+19u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
94.80%

Probability of hitting the -38u drawdown barrier before completing 720 hands or reaching +19u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
19.94%

Share of 720-hand trajectories reaching the +19u session ceiling, with 0.50% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
7 Steps (100u Cap)

A 100-unit house limit and 75-unit stack cap D'Alembert escalation after 7 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
14.57u ($1457)

Derived from 1138u total action (1.58x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M288 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

D'Alembert 75u stochastic progression-curve Across 720 Hands (M288)

Audit M288-1 measures the absorbing-barrier excursion of D'Alembert when anchored to 75 units and a 720-hand (10-shoe) schedule: the 100-unit maximum wager restricts recovery at step 7, locking in a 94.80% stop-loss frequency and $1457 in mathematical friction.

Under bankroll-constrained boundary rules in M288-2, pairing D'Alembert Pyramid with 75 units across 10 shoes (720 hands) and a 100-unit maximum maps a 94.80% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 7 adverse steps before variance-scaled absorption-curve truncation.

M288 ParameterD'Alembert (75u)10-Shoe progression-curve
D'Alembert Ladder+1 on loss / -1 on win (10 steps)Peak 12u multiplier on M288
75u Stack Window720 hands (10 shoes)Barriers -38u / +19u
100u Ceiling & Ruin94.80% ruin vs 19.94% winDepth 7 steps (6 cap hits)
1138u Handle & Hold14.57u ($1457)Multiplier 1.58x (stochastic drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

100u Ceiling Collisions & D'Alembert Turnover (10 Shoes)

Audit M288-3 documents the capital-bounded turnover of D'Alembert when anchored to 75 units and a 720-hand (10-shoe) schedule: the 100-unit maximum wager restricts recovery at step 7, locking in a 94.80% stop-loss frequency and $1457 in mathematical friction.

Under discrete-time boundary rules in M288-4, pairing D'Alembert Pyramid with 75 units across 10 shoes (720 hands) and a 100-unit maximum benchmarks a 94.80% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 7 adverse steps before drawdown-weighted trajectory truncation.

  • Cell M288 rule: lock the -38u stop on your 75u D'Alembert stack across 720 hands.
  • Matrix M288 quantifies 14.57u ($1457) in house hold over 1138u of D'Alembert action.
  • Scoreboard check M288: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (stochastic progression-curve) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 75 units to a 10-shoe session lets D'Alembert Pyramid overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 720 hands, D'Alembert generates 1138u in action, 14.57u in expected loss, and a 94.80% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell D'Alembert bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 720-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android