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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · D'ALEMBERT · 300U / 1-SHOE
D'Alembert Pyramid — 300-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
For a 300-unit roll spanning 72 hands (1 shoes), D'Alembert Pyramid (+1 on loss / -1 on win) quantifies a capital-bounded excursion under matrix M296-0, where the 40-unit table roof and -150u/+75u barriers yield 4.85% ruin versus 44.31% upside completion. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
- 4.85%
- Target Hit (+75u Cap)
- 44.31%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 2.02u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 40u