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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · D'ALEMBERT · 150U / 3-SHOE
D'Alembert Pyramid — 150-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
When a 150-unit stack enters a 3-shoe (216-hand) session using D'Alembert Pyramid, stochastic model M292-0 models 467u in cumulative action and a 16.53% barrier-absorption probability before the 60-unit table maximum truncates the finite-shoe excursion. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-75u Stop)
- 16.53%
- Target Hit (+38u Cap)
- 41.25%
- 216-Hand Expected Hold
- 5.98u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 60u