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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · D'ALEMBERT · 150U / 1-SHOE
D'Alembert Pyramid — 150-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Sequential profile M291-0 verifies D'Alembert Pyramid over a 1-shoe (72-hand) horizon with 150 units: drawdown-weighted escalation (+1 on loss / -1 on win, 10 steps) interacts with the 40-unit limit to charts a 5.63% ruin rate and a combinatorial ledger of 2.16x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-75u Stop)
- 5.63%
- Target Hit (+38u Cap)
- 43.89%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 2.00u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 40u