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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT · 75U / 1-SHOE
Contra D'Alembert Press — 75-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Within absorbing-barrier horizon M311-0, a 75-unit treasury backing Contra D'Alembert Press for 72 hands (1 shoes) faces a 40-unit bet cap that tabulates 9.70% ruin exposure, 42.95% target attainment at +19u, and 47.35% time-limit expiration. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-38u Stop)
- 9.70%
- Target Hit (+19u Cap)
- 42.95%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 1.28u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 40u