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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT · 30U / 5-SHOE
Contra D'Alembert Press — 30-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Across 360 eight-deck hands (5 shoes), drawdown-weighted simulation M305-0 for Contra D'Alembert Press on a 30-unit bankroll quantifies a 94.80% risk-of-ruin figure, maps 3 ceiling-collision events against the 80-unit cap and a 0.50% mid-corridor finish rate. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-15u Stop)
- 94.80%
- Target Hit (+8u Cap)
- 19.77%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 5.16u
- Table Max (5-Step Depth)
- 80u