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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · CONTRA D'ALEMBERT · 30U / 2-SHOE
Contra D'Alembert Press — 30-Unit Bankroll & 2-Shoe (144-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Within finite-shoe horizon M304-0, a 30-unit treasury backing Contra D'Alembert Press for 144 hands (2 shoes) faces a 50-unit bet cap that calibrates 48.50% ruin exposure, 32.32% target attainment at +8u, and 19.17% time-limit expiration. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-15u Stop)
- 48.50%
- Target Hit (+8u Cap)
- 32.32%
- 144-Hand Expected Hold
- 2.06u
- Table Max (5-Step Depth)
- 50u